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Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing - Hyndman, Rob a Koehler, Anne B. a Ord, J. Keith a Snyder, Ralph D.

However, a modeling framework incorporating stochastic models, likelihood calculation, prediction intervals and procedures for model selection, was not developed until recently. More advanced topics are covered in Part 3, including the mathematical properties of the models and extensions of the models for specific problems.

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